Cal Poly
Men -
Women
2015
-
2016 -
2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
70 |
Clayton Hutchins |
JR |
31:43 |
198 |
Swarnjit Boyal |
SR |
32:12 |
259 |
Alex Heuchert |
JR |
32:24 |
299 |
Justin Robison |
FR |
32:30 |
476 |
Chas Cook |
FR |
32:53 |
518 |
Mikey Giguere |
SO |
32:56 |
644 |
David Galvez |
SR |
33:11 |
684 |
Peter Cotsirilos |
SO |
33:16 |
989 |
Dimitri Voytilla |
SR |
33:43 |
|
National Rank |
#38 of 312 |
West Region Rank |
#10 of 32 |
Chance of Advancing to Nationals |
3.9% |
Most Likely Finish |
9th at Regional |
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
0.7% |
Regional Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 in Regional |
0.9% |
Top 10 in Regional |
98.3% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
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Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Clayton Hutchins |
Swarnjit Boyal |
Alex Heuchert |
Justin Robison |
Chas Cook |
Mikey Giguere |
David Galvez |
Peter Cotsirilos |
Dimitri Voytilla |
UC Riverside Invitational |
09/17 |
845 |
31:59 |
32:09 |
32:36 |
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|
32:53 |
33:36 |
33:20 |
33:31 |
Stanford Invitational |
10/01 |
814 |
32:03 |
31:52 |
32:38 |
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32:59 |
33:18 |
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33:05 |
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) |
10/15 |
783 |
31:33 |
32:45 |
32:22 |
32:39 |
|
32:50 |
33:12 |
|
33:38 |
Big West Championship |
10/29 |
657 |
31:45 |
31:58 |
32:03 |
32:25 |
32:45 |
33:21 |
32:58 |
32:51 |
34:25 |
West Region Championships |
11/11 |
684 |
31:32 |
32:23 |
32:13 |
32:25 |
33:02 |
32:29 |
|
33:51 |
|
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
3.9% |
24.2 |
584 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
Region Championship |
100% |
8.6 |
236 |
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0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
4.4 |
16.2 |
23.5 |
29.0 |
24.4 |
1.7 |
0.1 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Clayton Hutchins |
58.8% |
69.5 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
Swarnjit Boyal |
7.3% |
119.5 |
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Alex Heuchert |
4.2% |
138.0 |
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Justin Robison |
3.9% |
167.0 |
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Chas Cook |
3.9% |
215.0 |
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Mikey Giguere |
3.9% |
212.0 |
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David Galvez |
3.9% |
229.0 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Clayton Hutchins |
18.4 |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
3.8 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
Swarnjit Boyal |
40.9 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
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0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
Alex Heuchert |
49.5 |
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0.1 |
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0.2 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
Justin Robison |
54.5 |
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0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
Chas Cook |
70.8 |
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Mikey Giguere |
72.5 |
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David Galvez |
83.2 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
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At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
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1 |
2 |
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2 |
3 |
0.1% |
100.0% |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
3 |
4 |
0.2% |
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0.2 |
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4 |
5 |
0.7% |
50.0% |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
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0.4 |
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0.4 |
5 |
6 |
4.4% |
44.8% |
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0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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2.4 |
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2.0 |
6 |
7 |
16.2% |
9.0% |
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0.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
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14.8 |
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1.5 |
7 |
8 |
23.5% |
0.4% |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
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23.4 |
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0.1 |
8 |
9 |
29.0% |
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29.0 |
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9 |
10 |
24.4% |
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24.4 |
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10 |
11 |
1.7% |
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1.7 |
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11 |
12 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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12 |
13 |
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13 |
14 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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17 |
18 |
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18 |
19 |
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19 |
20 |
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20 |
21 |
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21 |
22 |
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22 |
23 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
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Total |
100% |
3.9% |
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0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
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96.1 |
0.0 |
3.9 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
Dartmouth |
0.7% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Kansas |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Purdue |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Missouri |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
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Total |
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0.0 |
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Minimum |
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0.0 |
Maximum |
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1.0 |