Cal Poly
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
70  Clayton Hutchins JR 31:43
198  Swarnjit Boyal SR 32:12
259  Alex Heuchert JR 32:24
299  Justin Robison FR 32:30
476  Chas Cook FR 32:53
518  Mikey Giguere SO 32:56
644  David Galvez SR 33:11
684  Peter Cotsirilos SO 33:16
989  Dimitri Voytilla SR 33:43
National Rank #38 of 312
West Region Rank #10 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 3.9%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.7%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.9%
Top 10 in Regional 98.3%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Clayton Hutchins Swarnjit Boyal Alex Heuchert Justin Robison Chas Cook Mikey Giguere David Galvez Peter Cotsirilos Dimitri Voytilla
UC Riverside Invitational 09/17 845 31:59 32:09 32:36 32:53 33:36 33:20 33:31
Stanford Invitational 10/01 814 32:03 31:52 32:38 32:59 33:18 33:05
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 783 31:33 32:45 32:22 32:39 32:50 33:12 33:38
Big West Championship 10/29 657 31:45 31:58 32:03 32:25 32:45 33:21 32:58 32:51 34:25
West Region Championships 11/11 684 31:32 32:23 32:13 32:25 33:02 32:29 33:51





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 3.9% 24.2 584 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2
Region Championship 100% 8.6 236 0.1 0.2 0.7 4.4 16.2 23.5 29.0 24.4 1.7 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Clayton Hutchins 58.8% 69.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.7
Swarnjit Boyal 7.3% 119.5
Alex Heuchert 4.2% 138.0
Justin Robison 3.9% 167.0
Chas Cook 3.9% 215.0
Mikey Giguere 3.9% 212.0
David Galvez 3.9% 229.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Clayton Hutchins 18.4 0.2 0.3 1.3 1.4 1.9 2.8 4.0 3.9 3.2 3.3 3.7 4.4 3.8 4.1 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.5 2.7 2.6 2.6 3.4 2.9 2.3
Swarnjit Boyal 40.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.4 1.5 2.3 1.9 1.6
Alex Heuchert 49.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5
Justin Robison 54.5 0.2 0.1 0.2
Chas Cook 70.8
Mikey Giguere 72.5
David Galvez 83.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 3
4 0.2% 0.2 4
5 0.7% 50.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 5
6 4.4% 44.8% 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 2.4 2.0 6
7 16.2% 9.0% 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 14.8 1.5 7
8 23.5% 0.4% 0.1 0.1 23.4 0.1 8
9 29.0% 29.0 9
10 24.4% 24.4 10
11 1.7% 1.7 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 3.9% 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 96.1 0.0 3.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Dartmouth 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0